Marin Market Overview, April 2012

Posted on 12th April 2012 by Alan Blumenthal in Marin Buyers and Sellers

 

Tiburon Hills

Excited buyers continue to surprise the market with multiple offers on the more desirable properties. Often, one or more of these buyers has an all-cash offer, without sale conditions.

The supply of homes is very low, 40-50% of the supply a year ago. This is tipping the market in favor of sellers for most neighborhoods. This is definitely an opportunity to sell.

The Latest Statistics

Here are the median sale prices of all homes in Marin over the last 4 months.

 

Median Sale Prices

 

  March 2012  

  Previous 3 Months   (Dec-Feb)   Peak of the Market
2006-08
  Single Family Homes 

$675,000

$690,000

$1,000,000

Condos/Townhouses  $307,450 $295,000

$499,000

Data from the Marin MLS.

In March, prices of single family homes were down 33% and condos were down 38% countywide, compared to the peak of our real estate market in 2006-08.  However, median prices in March were about the same as the previous three months.

What Price Range is Selling?

In March 2012, 80% of the sales were below $1M, compared to 60% at the peak of the market (2006-08).

15% of sales are now between $1M and $2M, compared to 11% at the peak. This indicates a new strength may be emerging in this mid-to-high market.

4% of homes sold over $2M compared to 11% at the peak, indicating a quiet high end.

 

  Price Range

March 2012

Peak of Market
2006-2008

  Number of Sales    %     Number of Sales    %  

Up to $500,000

91 39 614 15
  $500,000 to $1M 

96

41

1787

45

$1M-$1.5M

22

9

809

20

$1.5M-$2M 15 6 350

9

$2M-$5M

7

3

380

10

$5M+

2

1

47

1

Total

233

 100

3987

100



Houses Are Selling

Houses are selling fast, many receiving multiple offers. The number of houses that are Contingent or Pending is unusually high: About 43% of listed homes have received offers.

  City   Active
Listings 
  Contingent    %
Contingent 
  Pending    %
Pending 
  %Contingent + Pending 
  Belvedere 22 2 9 0 0 2
  Corte Madera  13 14 39 9 25 39
  Fairfax 10 11 50 1 5 55
  Greenbrae 15 6 26 2 9 34
  Kentfield 17 4 14 5 19 33
  Larkspur 15 9 31 5 17 48
  Mill Valley 77 38 28 20 15 43
  Novato 93 131 51 33 13 64
  Ross 12 5 25 3 15 40
  San Anselmo  29 24 36 12 18 54
  San Rafael 111 102 41 33 13 54
  Sausalito 43 21 30 5 17 47
  Tiburon 52 14 11 8 11 22
  West Marin 37 14 25 4 7 32
Data from the Marin MLS on 4/4/12

Pending properties are very likely to end in sales, while Contingent properties are in negotiation and may not go to completion. In any case, these numbers indicate a strong interest in listed properties.

How Will Distressed Properties Affect The Marin Market?

We recently learned that Wells Fargo, which is the leading the mortgage market with a 30% market share, will soon be releasing a large number of foreclosed properties for sale. We do not expect that the Marin market will be flooded with REOS; the number should be about the same as last year.

The Marin County Tax Records show 389 bank-owned (REO) properties. With 93 REOs on the market right now, about 300 more may come on the market this year. Assuming that 2,500 homes will sell in 2012 (as in 2011), REOs may amount to about 15% of the sales.

In 2011, 16% of home sales were REOs, with a median sale price of $389,000. 150 of these were condos and 253 single family homes. These sales lowered the median home price by only 8.6%. In 2012, REO sales should lower the median sale price by a amount similar to 2011, 8-9%.

Recent Sales

Here are complete lists of all homes sold in the last 30 days. Note the Original List Prices and final Sold Prices. We can send you complete information about any of these homes. Just contact us at info@livinginmarin.com.

Single family Homes Sold, March 2012

City

Address

  BD 

BA

  Sq Ft 

  Lot Ac 

  Original Price 

  Sold Price 

Belvedere 74 Bayview Ave 4 4 (3 1) 2754 0.188 $1,895,000 $1,850,000
Belvedere 35 W Shore Rd 5 5 (4 1) 4239 0.236 $6,500,000 $5,300,000
Bolinas 210 Birch Rd 2 1 (1 0) 1078 0.138 $585,000 $499,000
Corte Madera 130 Edison Ave 4 4 (3 1) 1577 0.093 $659,000 $586,000
Corte Madera 485 Corte Madera Ave 3 2 (2 0) 1536 0.168 $599,000 $600,000
Corte Madera 229 Sausalito St 3 2 (2 0) 1048 0.107 $649,000 $680,000
Corte Madera 37 Echo Ave 3 2 (2 0) 1140 0.142 $769,000 $765,000
Corte Madera 230 Chapman Dr 3 2 (2 0) 1725 0.207 $875,000 $875,000
Corte Madera 250 Morningside Dr 3 4 (3 1) 3004 0.130 $1,295,000 $1,190,000
Data from the Marin MLS.

MORE Sales SFH Mill Valley thru Tiburon

Condos and Townhouses Sold, March 2012

City

Address

 BD 

BA

  Sq Ft 

  Lot Ac 

  Original Price 

  Sold Price 

Corte Madera 61 Pixley Ave #10 2 1 (1 0) 696 0.051 $225,000 $223,875
Corte Madera 14 Creekside Ct 3 3 (2 1) 1446 0.071 $579,000 $585,000
Greenbrae 715 Via Casitas St 2 1 (1 0) 877 0.021 $292,300 $262,500
Greenbrae 805 S Eliseo Dr #1 3 2 (1 1) 1280 0.052 $359,900 $312,000
Greenbrae 904 Via Casitas Dr 3 2 (2 0) 1403 0.032 $468,000 $440,000
Greenbrae 1065 S Eliseo Dr 2 2 (2 0) 1370 0.059 $525,000 $449,000
Greenbrae 635 S Eliseo Dr #11 2 2 (2 0) 1188 0.027 $549,000 $520,000
Larkspur 505 Larkspur Plaza Dr #6 2 1 (1 0) 815 0.045 $305,000 $304,000
Larkspur 1 Escalle Ln 2 3 (2 1) 1361 0.035 $479,000 $479,900
Larkspur 120 Rice Ln 2 3 (2 1) 1364 0.058 $899,000 $900,000
Mill Valley 17 Emerson Dr 3 3 (2 1) 1356   $399,000 $400,000
Mill Valley 13 Fielding Cir 2 2 (1 1) 1248 0.028 $429,000 $410,000
Mill Valley 120 Seminary Dr #3B 2 2 (2 0) 1183 0.041 $518,000 $427,500
Data from the Marin MLS.

MORE Sales Condos Novato thru Tiburon

We Have Buyers

We have buyers looking for properties from Sausalito to San Anselmo, Please call Madeline at (415) 515-9357 if you know of properties that may be for sale.



Leave a Reply